Yesterday's trade between the the Cubs and Padres is getting mixed reviews.
- Baseball America has their usual full player scouting reports, but doesn't formulate too much of an opinion.
- Paul Swydan of FanGraphs.com makes the case that the acquisition of Andrew Cashner makes the Padres better in three ways, but the entire argument seems a stretch to me. One of his reasons, that the addition of Cashner to the Padres bullpen removes the temptation of using pitching prospects Casey Kelly, Joe Wieland, or Robbie Erlin in a relief role to start the year, may be true, but it is a completely secondary effect of the trade that could have been accomplished without Cashner by simply showing restraint. And it's certainly no reason to trade a potential starting first baseman. Fellow FanGraphs.com writer Jason Roberts is on the Cubs side of things, saying that "trading a reliever with injury and control problems for a young, slugging first baseman is almost always a good idea."
- John SIckles thinks Zach Cates has some nice potential, which only adds to the lopsidedness of this trade to the Cubs side.
- Keith Law of ESPN.com thinks the Cubs got a "slight edge" in the deal, going as far as saying that Cashner "could be the next Craig Kimbrel."
Perhaps I'm missing something with Cashner. He does have a enticing power arm, and could end up being a very effective reliever for the Padres, not just this year but also in the future. But he's never thrown more than 115 innings in a professional season and has battled wildness throughout his career. He's essentially a two-pitch pitcher, having never been healthy long enough to effectively develop his change-up. I don't see him having the repertoire or durability to ever be an effective starter long-term. He could be a dominant reliever, but I don't see that as enough value for a starting first baseman. Anthony Rizzo may never be an all-star (he reminds me a lot of Adam LaRoche), but he's still an effective piece. Opinions are split on him and Yonder Alonso, and one clearly had to be traded, but the value in return could have been higher.

